Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Brooklyn Nets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.3% | 42.7% | -1.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Brooklyn Nets -3 (98-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bosh * | 35 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 22 | - |
| LeBron James * | 35 | 11-19 | 1-2 | 14-15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 37 | 30 | - |
| James Jones * | 30 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 25 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Terrel Harris * | 23 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 22 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Norris Cole * | 20 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
Brooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Humphries * | 40 | 12-16 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 24 | - |
| MarShon Brooks * | 37 | 10-17 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Gerald Green * | 34 | 6-17 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 2 | - |
| Sundiata Gaines * | 33 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Jordan Williams * | 31 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Anthony Morrow * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Armon Johnson * | 10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Johan Petro * | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Shelden Williams | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter