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2012-04-16

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 77.7% 22.3% -
Bradley-Terry 35.5% 64.5% -
Margin 34.4% 65.6% +3.6 (19.4 off)
Pythagorean 44.1% 55.9% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers +23 (111-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J.J. Barea * 30 5-14 2-6 2-5 1 9 0 0 1 14 9 -
Derrick Williams * 29 3-15 0-6 7-8 10 1 1 1 2 13 9 -
Brad Miller * 25 2-5 1-2 0-0 3 2 1 1 1 5 6 -
Martell Webster * 24 2-4 1-3 0-0 6 1 1 0 0 5 9 -
Michael Beasley * 23 6-11 0-3 1-2 5 0 0 0 5 13 2 -
Nikola Pekovic * 22 4-11 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 1 0 10 4 -
Wayne Ellington * 22 2-5 0-1 0-2 5 0 0 1 0 4 5 -
Anthony Randolph * 18 1-7 0-0 4-4 5 0 0 2 1 6 5 -
Malcolm Lee * 17 4-6 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 0 0 9 7 -
Wesley Johnson * 17 3-7 3-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 9 5 -
Anthony Tolliver * 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Danny Granger * 26 6-14 5-7 2-2 7 5 0 0 0 19 17 -
Leandro Barbosa * 25 3-11 1-6 2-2 3 1 1 0 3 9 0 -
Roy Hibbert * 25 5-7 0-0 2-3 11 2 1 5 1 12 23 -
Paul George * 25 5-9 2-2 6-6 5 3 1 0 1 18 17 -
Tyler Hansbrough * 23 2-10 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 2 4 -2 -
David West * 22 9-14 0-0 4-4 10 4 0 0 0 22 22 -
George Hill * 22 3-8 1-5 4-4 3 4 1 0 1 11 10 -
Dahntay Jones * 18 3-5 1-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 9 6 -
Darren Collison * 18 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 0 1 -
Lou Amundson * 15 1-3 0-0 0-2 5 0 0 1 1 2 4 -
AJ Price 6 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 3 4 -
Kyrylo Fesenko 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
Jeff Ayres 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter