Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.8% | 71.2% | +5.0 | ✗ (27.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -22 (87-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 36 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 35 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 27 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 34 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 33 | 6-15 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Ivan Johnson * | 27 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 21 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Jason Collins * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Vladimir Radmanovic * | 7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jannero Pargo * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 36 | 8-14 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Ben Uzoh * | 33 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| James Johnson * | 32 | 7-11 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Ed Davis * | 30 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Alan Anderson * | 24 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Solomon Alabi * | 24 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Gary Forbes * | 23 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -5 | - |
| Aaron Gray * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
* = starter