Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.0% | 59.0% | +2.0 | ✓ (13.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +15 (101-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Budinger * | 34 | 7-16 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Courtney Lee * | 34 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Chandler Parsons * | 32 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Patrick Patterson * | 29 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -3 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 28 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 27 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Samuel Dalembert * | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 13 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Marcus Camby * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Marcus Morris Sr. | 6 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Earl Boykins | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Lawson * | 34 | 7-15 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 33 | 9-15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 8 | - |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 29 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Kenneth Faried * | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Corey Brewer * | 23 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Andre Miller * | 22 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 20 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Kosta Koufos * | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| JaVale McGee * | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Wilson Chandler * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jordan Hamilton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter