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2012-04-15

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 44.3% 55.7% -
Bradley-Terry 54.5% 45.5% -
Margin 51.2% 48.8% -0.3 (13.3 off)
Pythagorean 51.8% 48.2% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +13 (88-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rudy Gay * 36 9-17 2-4 4-4 4 0 1 1 4 24 9 -
Mike Conley * 29 1-8 1-2 2-2 5 3 0 0 2 5 3 -
Marc Gasol * 28 2-6 0-0 7-9 7 3 0 1 2 11 14 -
O.J. Mayo * 27 3-12 0-7 5-8 4 2 1 0 6 11 0 -
Tony Allen * 26 1-4 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 4 0 -
Marreese Speights * 25 4-10 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 8 -1 -
Zach Randolph * 22 1-2 0-0 0-0 13 3 1 0 0 2 17 -
Quincy Pondexter * 20 2-6 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 4 2 -
Gilbert Arenas * 10 2-3 2-3 0-0 0 2 2 0 0 6 7 -
Dante Cunningham * 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
Hamed Haddadi 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Josh Selby 1 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Jeremy Pargo 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Greivis Vasquez * 37 2-10 2-5 2-2 1 9 3 0 3 8 8 -
Eric Gordon * 28 5-9 0-0 8-8 0 2 0 0 1 18 10 -
Al-Farouq Aminu * 28 4-9 0-1 4-4 7 2 3 0 1 12 14 -
Carl Landry * 26 6-10 0-0 4-4 11 0 1 0 1 16 17 -
Jason Smith * 26 7-13 0-0 0-0 10 4 0 0 1 14 14 -
Xavier Henry * 22 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 4 2 -
Marco Belinelli * 21 2-9 1-7 1-1 0 3 1 0 0 6 1 -
Chris Kaman * 19 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 0 3 4 3 -
Gustavo Ayon * 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 4 2 -
Jerome Dyson * 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 2 1 -
Lance Thomas 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter