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2012-04-15

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 66.4% 33.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 67.3% 32.7% - โœ“
Margin 68.8% 31.2% -4.4 โœ“ (11.6 off)
Pythagorean 59.6% 40.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 70.7% 29.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 70.7% 29.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 59.4% 40.6% - โœ“

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -16 (84-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ryan Anderson * 36 3-11 1-4 2-2 13 2 1 1 0 9 15 -
JJ Redick * 32 4-12 3-8 2-2 2 4 0 1 1 13 7 -
Jason Richardson * 32 6-13 4-7 0-0 6 3 2 1 1 16 14 -
Daniel Orton * 28 3-4 0-0 5-8 4 1 5 3 0 11 20 -
Jameer Nelson * 28 8-14 2-4 3-3 7 9 0 0 3 21 20 -
Earl Clark * 23 5-5 0-0 3-4 1 3 0 2 0 13 14 -
Chris Duhon * 19 2-7 1-5 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 5 2 -
Von Wafer * 15 0-2 0-0 2-2 0 1 1 0 1 2 1 -
Quentin Richardson * 15 2-5 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
Glen Davis * 7 3-6 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 2 -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Antawn Jamison * 34 5-13 1-3 10-12 5 6 1 1 4 21 17 -
Alonzo Gee * 31 4-11 0-2 2-2 8 1 1 0 0 10 9 -
Donald Sloan * 31 5-10 1-3 4-5 4 5 0 0 3 15 11 -
Tristan Thompson * 28 1-8 0-0 1-2 8 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
Anthony Parker * 27 3-7 2-3 0-2 5 2 1 0 0 8 9 -
Manny Harris * 20 3-6 1-2 3-4 4 2 1 0 3 10 8 -
Samardo Samuels * 19 2-6 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 1 0 6 7 -
Lester Hudson * 16 3-6 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 6 4 -
Omri Casspi * 16 2-6 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 5 1 -
Luke Walton * 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 0 -5 -

* = starter