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2012-04-15

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 49.5% 50.5% -
Bradley-Terry 45.6% 54.4% -
Margin 51.6% 48.4% -0.4 (4.4 off)
Pythagorean 51.9% 48.1% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +4 (112-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dirk Nowitzki * 42 9-28 3-8 3-3 14 1 0 1 2 24 10 -
Brendan Haywood * 38 4-5 0-0 1-2 5 0 2 2 0 9 13 -
Delonte West * 38 9-15 0-1 2-2 2 2 0 0 2 20 7 -
Jason Kidd * 38 5-7 3-4 0-0 3 7 1 0 1 13 16 -
Jason Terry * 37 8-15 5-6 0-0 3 4 1 0 0 21 14 -
Shawn Marion * 32 4-9 0-1 2-2 11 4 0 0 1 10 15 -
Vince Carter * 21 2-5 1-1 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 7 6 -
Ian Mahinmi * 7 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 1 0 2 2 -
Brandan Wright 8 0-3 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ramon Sessions * 44 8-15 3-5 3-4 1 5 1 0 1 22 13 -
Pau Gasol * 44 6-14 2-2 6-6 10 5 1 0 1 20 21 -
Andrew Bynum * 43 9-24 0-0 5-8 16 2 0 0 2 23 15 -
Metta World Peace * 41 7-20 0-5 4-5 6 4 1 0 1 18 8 -
Matt Barnes * 33 4-7 2-3 1-2 11 8 0 1 1 11 23 -
Steve Blake * 22 2-4 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 4 1 -
Devin Ebanks * 17 3-5 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 6 7 -
Josh McRoberts * 17 3-4 0-1 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 8 8 -

* = starter