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2012-04-15

Model Predictions

Model Miami Heat New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 43.0% 57.0% -
Bradley-Terry 55.3% 44.7% -
Margin 54.2% 45.8% -0.9 (7.1 off)
Pythagorean 52.7% 47.3% -

Actual: New York Knicks -8 (85-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Miami Heat

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 40 11-24 1-6 6-9 10 3 2 0 6 29 14 -
Dwyane Wade * 38 10-18 0-2 8-8 9 4 0 1 6 28 18 -
Chris Bosh * 35 8-15 0-0 0-0 14 1 1 1 2 16 16 -
Mario Chalmers * 33 2-4 1-1 0-0 2 3 2 0 0 5 8 -
James Jones * 25 1-4 1-4 2-2 2 1 1 0 0 5 5 -
Shane Battier * 21 1-5 0-1 1-2 4 2 1 0 1 3 4 -
Udonis Haslem * 17 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Joel Anthony * 12 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
Mike Miller 16 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
Norris Cole 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Carmelo Anthony * 43 14-27 2-7 12-15 9 5 1 0 1 42 29 -
Iman Shumpert * 37 1-4 1-3 0-0 5 5 2 0 1 3 10 -
JR Smith * 35 6-15 4-9 0-0 7 2 3 1 3 16 11 -
Tyson Chandler * 30 4-5 0-0 1-4 5 0 0 0 1 9 8 -
Baron Davis * 26 1-6 0-3 1-4 1 4 1 0 5 3 -2 -
Landry Fields * 23 2-8 0-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 4 -1 -
Steve Novak * 22 2-5 2-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 1 -
Jared Jeffries * 14 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
Mike Bibby * 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter