Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.4% | 7.6% | -9.8 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.4% | 25.6% | -5.9 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -5 (110-115). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell Westbrook * | 38 | 12-25 | 2-4 | 9-10 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 35 | 18 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 34 | 15-23 | 4-6 | 9-12 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 43 | 25 | - |
| James Harden * | 30 | 1-11 | 0-8 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 28 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 27 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Nick Collison * | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 21 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 20 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 7 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Beasley * | 39 | 13-21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 13 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 39 | 9-16 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 21 | - |
| Nikola Pekovic * | 38 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Martell Webster * | 36 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Randolph * | 33 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Wesley Johnson * | 18 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Derrick Williams * | 12 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Malcolm Lee * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter