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2012-04-14

Model Predictions

Model Utah Jazz Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 35.9% 64.1% -
Bradley-Terry 41.0% 59.0% -
Margin 40.3% 59.7% +2.2 (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 47.4% 52.6% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +5 (103-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah Jazz

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paul Millsap * 37 8-15 1-1 0-2 7 1 3 0 0 17 13 -
Al Jefferson * 37 10-17 0-0 0-0 8 4 1 0 0 20 16 -
Gordon Hayward * 37 4-10 2-3 7-7 4 5 0 0 1 17 15 -
Devin Harris * 36 7-16 2-5 4-6 1 6 1 0 4 20 8 -
Derrick Favors * 28 4-10 0-0 2-2 14 0 0 2 3 10 13 -
DeMarre Carroll * 22 3-6 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 6 3 -
Alec Burks * 13 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 4 3 -
Jamaal Tinsley * 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 3 2 0 3 2 2 -
Enes Freedom * 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 2 3 2 1 -
Blake Ahearn * 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rudy Gay * 40 8-16 1-4 9-10 12 1 1 2 1 26 25 -
Marc Gasol * 39 6-10 0-0 5-8 9 4 0 3 1 17 22 -
Mike Conley * 35 6-13 1-2 4-4 1 6 1 1 4 17 9 -
Zach Randolph * 29 3-6 0-0 1-2 6 2 0 0 1 7 8 -
O.J. Mayo * 24 5-11 4-5 6-6 0 0 0 0 2 20 7 -
Tony Allen * 23 2-6 0-0 2-2 3 2 0 0 1 6 4 -
Marreese Speights * 18 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 4 2 -
Gilbert Arenas * 12 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 5 4 -
Hamed Haddadi * 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Dante Cunningham 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
Quincy Pondexter 6 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 -

* = starter