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2012-04-13

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 71.7% 28.3% -
Bradley-Terry 53.7% 46.3% -
Margin 56.3% 43.7% -1.4 (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 53.4% 46.6% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +6 (103-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Arron Afflalo * 38 7-15 0-2 4-5 4 4 0 0 2 18 9 -
Andre Miller * 32 9-18 0-1 2-4 6 6 1 0 4 20 11 -
Ty Lawson * 29 4-14 1-3 0-0 3 4 3 0 3 9 2 -
Danilo Gallinari * 27 2-9 1-4 2-2 1 1 0 0 3 7 -3 -
JaVale McGee * 27 7-9 0-0 0-0 10 0 1 0 1 14 15 -
Al Harrington * 27 7-14 3-5 1-2 1 1 3 0 0 18 9 -
Corey Brewer * 19 0-4 0-2 0-0 5 3 3 0 1 0 6 -
Kenneth Faried * 18 3-6 0-0 1-2 7 1 2 0 1 7 10 -
Timofey Mozgov * 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 1 0 2 6 -
Kosta Koufos * 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 2 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Metta World Peace * 39 5-12 2-6 2-3 8 3 5 0 3 14 15 -
Pau Gasol * 37 6-13 0-1 2-4 10 5 0 3 6 14 13 -
Andrew Bynum * 37 11-19 0-0 8-11 8 3 1 3 4 30 22 -
Ramon Sessions * 30 1-7 0-0 5-6 4 6 0 0 3 7 7 -
Matt Barnes * 29 9-11 4-4 2-3 10 2 0 0 2 24 23 -
Devin Ebanks * 23 2-4 0-1 1-2 1 3 1 0 2 5 4 -
Steve Blake * 21 3-6 1-3 0-0 2 3 2 0 1 7 7 -
Josh McRoberts * 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
Troy Murphy 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter