Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.6% | 79.4% | +7.4 | ✓ (15.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +23 (105-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Brown * | 35 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Byron Mullens * | 35 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 32 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Gerald Henderson * | 30 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Kemba Walker * | 25 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| D.J. Augustin * | 24 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Reggie Williams * | 22 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Cory Higgins * | 12 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Matt Carroll * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| DJ White * | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrel Harris * | 35 | 4-13 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 29 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 20 | - |
| LeBron James * | 28 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Norris Cole * | 25 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| James Jones * | 24 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Dexter Pittman * | 18 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Juwan Howard | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Eddy Curry | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter