Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.9% | 47.1% | -0.6 | ✓ (27.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -28 (81-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Williams * | 30 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 29 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Jannero Pargo * | 28 | 6-10 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 27 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 27 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 24 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Vladimir Radmanovic * | 16 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 12 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Jason Collins | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Erick Dampier | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Anderson * | 34 | 2-12 | 0-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Glen Davis * | 31 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 30 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 27 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Von Wafer * | 27 | 6-11 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 20 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Ish Smith * | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Earl Clark * | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| DeAndre Liggins * | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Justin Harper | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Daniel Orton | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter