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2012-04-13

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 60.2% 39.8% -
Bradley-Terry 43.7% 56.3% -
Margin 42.6% 57.4% +1.6 (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 48.3% 51.7% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +5 (84-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rajon Rondo * 37 3-7 0-1 2-2 0 12 4 0 0 8 17 -
Avery Bradley * 36 7-14 0-1 1-2 6 2 1 1 1 15 10 -
Paul Pierce * 34 6-15 3-7 3-3 8 4 0 1 2 18 14 -
Brandon Bass * 32 5-11 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 10 1 -
Kevin Garnett * 31 5-16 0-1 3-3 10 3 0 1 1 13 10 -
Mickael Pietrus * 22 1-7 1-6 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
Greg Stiemsma * 16 1-2 0-0 3-5 1 0 1 1 1 5 5 -
Sasha Pavlovic * 10 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
Keyon Dooling * 7 1-3 0-2 2-2 0 2 1 0 0 4 4 -
Ryan Hollins * 5 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 1 3 2 -
Marquis Daniels 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Amir Johnson * 40 4-8 0-0 2-2 9 1 1 2 1 10 14 -
DeMar DeRozan * 34 4-14 1-3 13-13 2 2 0 1 2 22 11 -
Ben Uzoh * 32 4-9 0-0 0-0 8 5 2 0 1 8 13 -
Alan Anderson * 30 3-11 3-7 3-4 0 4 1 1 1 12 6 -
Ed Davis * 29 2-6 0-0 0-0 12 0 0 0 2 4 8 -
Linas Kleiza * 28 4-10 3-6 6-6 8 0 0 0 2 17 13 -
Aaron Gray * 17 2-5 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 0 1 4 8 -
Justin Dentmon * 15 2-5 0-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 4 2 -
James Johnson * 6 0-3 0-0 2-4 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
Gary Forbes * 5 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 1 -1 -

* = starter