Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.4% | 75.6% | +6.2 | ✗ (15.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -9 (103-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 36 | 10-23 | 1-5 | 6-7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 7 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 33 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 10 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 28 | - |
| Brandan Wright * | 32 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 31 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 25 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 17 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 24 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Rodrigue Beaubois * | 20 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Delonte West * | 15 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi * | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Brian Cardinal | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Lee * | 40 | 11-20 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 15 | - |
| Klay Thompson * | 39 | 8-17 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 23 | - |
| Brandon Rush * | 29 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Nate Robinson * | 24 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Charles Jenkins * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 23 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 18 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jeremy Tyler * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Dominic McGuire * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Andris Biedrins * | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Mickell Gladness | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
* = starter