Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.7% | 71.3% | +5.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +10 (107-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gay * | 43 | 7-22 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 6 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 36 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 31 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 28 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Quincy Pondexter * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Marreese Speights * | 25 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| O.J. Mayo * | 23 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 3-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Gilbert Arenas * | 15 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Dante Cunningham | 8 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jeremy Pargo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 35 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 26 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 35 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 29 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 11-11 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 24 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Danny Green * | 23 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 22 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Kawhi Leonard * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 14 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 12 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter