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2012-04-12

Model Predictions

Model Miami Heat Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 38.7% 61.3% -
Bradley-Terry 50.4% 49.6% -
Margin 51.2% 48.8% -0.3 (10.3 off)
Pythagorean 51.5% 48.5% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +10 (96-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Miami Heat

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 47 11-24 3-6 5-7 6 5 1 1 4 30 15 -
Chris Bosh * 41 8-16 0-1 4-6 8 2 0 4 0 20 18 -
Dwyane Wade * 41 10-21 0-0 1-2 5 4 2 2 2 21 11 -
Shane Battier * 31 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 2 2 3 -
Ronny Turiaf * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 1 3 0 6 -
Mike Miller * 28 1-9 1-3 0-0 6 2 1 0 3 3 0 -
Mario Chalmers * 27 2-7 0-1 0-1 3 3 2 0 3 4 2 -
Udonis Haslem * 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 4 6 -
Joel Anthony 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luol Deng * 42 6-13 3-5 1-4 5 2 1 0 1 16 10 -
Carlos Boozer * 30 9-19 0-0 1-2 11 2 1 0 1 19 13 -
Taj Gibson * 28 4-9 0-0 3-3 5 0 0 1 1 11 7 -
C.J. Watson * 27 6-10 2-5 2-4 3 9 3 0 1 16 20 -
Derrick Rose * 25 1-13 0-3 0-0 3 8 1 0 3 2 -2 -
Richard Hamilton * 24 3-6 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 7 0 -
Joakim Noah * 22 1-3 0-0 3-4 4 0 1 0 1 5 6 -
Omer Asik * 22 0-2 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 2 1 0 8 -
Ronnie Brewer * 20 1-2 0-1 1-2 3 2 3 0 2 3 7 -
Kyle Korver * 18 6-8 5-6 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 17 11 -
Jimmy Butler III 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter