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2012-04-11

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Denver Nuggets Spread Result
Elo 37.3% 62.7% -
Bradley-Terry 31.9% 68.1% -
Margin 29.8% 70.2% +4.7 (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 43.4% 56.6% -

Actual: Denver Nuggets +6 (113-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick Williams * 37 10-20 3-9 4-4 8 0 1 1 5 27 12 -
J.J. Barea * 36 5-13 1-2 1-2 6 15 1 0 4 12 17 -
Martell Webster * 32 4-7 2-4 2-2 4 3 2 0 1 12 13 -
Anthony Randolph * 31 11-16 0-0 6-8 6 1 0 5 2 28 22 -
Wesley Johnson * 29 5-8 1-3 0-0 4 3 0 2 0 11 12 -
Anthony Tolliver * 21 1-5 1-5 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 3 3 -
Nikola Pekovic * 18 5-6 0-0 2-2 2 2 0 0 1 12 9 -
Malcolm Lee * 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 2 3 -
Michael Beasley * 9 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
Kevin Love * 8 0-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Arron Afflalo * 37 7-14 3-5 4-6 1 3 0 0 1 21 10 -
Kenneth Faried * 35 5-9 0-0 6-8 12 2 2 2 1 16 24 -
Danilo Gallinari * 35 7-16 3-7 1-2 4 4 1 0 3 18 8 -
Ty Lawson * 35 9-17 0-3 6-6 5 8 0 0 2 24 18 -
Andre Miller * 26 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 7 0 0 3 0 3 -
Al Harrington * 22 4-8 3-5 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 11 6 -
JaVale McGee * 17 3-4 0-0 2-4 4 1 0 3 1 8 11 -
Corey Brewer * 16 3-7 0-2 2-3 0 2 3 0 0 8 6 -
Kosta Koufos * 14 3-4 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 2 0 7 8 -

* = starter