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2012-04-11

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 15.2% 84.8% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 26.0% 74.0% - ✗
Margin 19.2% 80.8% +7.9 ✗ (21.9 off)
Pythagorean 38.0% 62.0% - ✗

Actual: San Antonio Spurs -14 (84-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pau Gasol * 40 9-24 0-2 3-3 11 3 1 1 2 21 11 -
Metta World Peace * 39 10-15 5-8 1-3 4 3 1 0 1 26 18 -
Andrew Bynum * 36 7-20 0-0 2-4 30 2 0 2 0 16 30 -
Ramon Sessions * 30 4-9 1-2 1-2 3 5 0 0 4 10 5 -
Steve Blake * 26 4-7 2-4 0-0 3 3 1 0 2 10 8 -
Matt Barnes * 23 5-8 3-6 0-0 6 4 0 1 2 13 14 -
Devin Ebanks * 22 0-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 -1 -
Josh McRoberts * 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
Troy Murphy 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Danny Green * 26 7-11 5-6 3-3 3 2 2 2 0 22 20 -
Tony Parker * 26 2-12 0-0 0-0 2 8 1 0 0 4 3 -
Manu Ginobili * 26 3-8 1-4 2-4 4 5 1 0 4 9 7 -
Stephen Jackson * 24 2-4 2-3 0-0 5 2 1 0 1 6 9 -
Tim Duncan * 24 7-14 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 3 2 14 3 -
Patty Mills * 21 3-11 1-4 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 7 1 -
Matt Bonner * 19 3-7 3-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 9 5 -
Kawhi Leonard * 18 1-4 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 2 0 2 6 -
Tiago Splitter * 15 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 6 5 -
DeJuan Blair * 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 0 5 -
Boris Diaw 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 0 5 -
James Anderson 7 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 2 -

* = starter