Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.0% | 74.0% | +5.8 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +2 (88-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Smith * | 42 | 9-19 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 42 | 5-17 | 0-5 | 4-5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 41 | 8-12 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 39 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 29 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Ivan Johnson * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Willie Green * | 10 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Jannero Pargo * | 9 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rajon Rondo * | 47 | 3-16 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 10 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 20 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 42 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 40 | 6-19 | 1-8 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 2 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 33 | 9-20 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Avery Bradley * | 30 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus * | 28 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Greg Stiemsma * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter