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2012-04-11

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 15.7% 84.3% -
Bradley-Terry 45.9% 54.1% -
Margin 44.3% 55.7% +1.3 (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 49.1% 50.9% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -6 (98-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
George Hill * 41 7-14 2-5 1-4 3 5 0 2 1 17 12 -
Danny Granger * 40 8-18 2-5 5-5 4 1 0 0 1 23 9 -
Roy Hibbert * 38 4-9 0-0 3-6 11 5 2 4 5 11 19 -
David West * 36 6-9 0-0 7-8 5 2 2 2 3 19 18 -
Paul George * 33 3-6 0-2 0-0 10 3 0 0 2 6 11 -
Leandro Barbosa * 19 3-7 3-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 9 1 -
Tyler Hansbrough * 19 1-5 0-0 7-7 4 0 0 0 0 9 8 -
Dahntay Jones * 13 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
Lou Amundson * 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 1 2 5 -
AJ Price * 11 2-6 0-3 1-2 2 3 2 0 4 5 2 -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Antawn Jamison * 41 8-18 0-2 5-8 8 3 0 0 3 21 11 -
Anthony Parker * 37 2-8 1-2 2-2 3 3 1 0 2 7 4 -
Alonzo Gee * 35 3-11 0-2 1-1 5 5 0 2 2 7 6 -
Lester Hudson * 33 8-20 1-9 2-2 6 2 0 1 6 19 2 -
Tristan Thompson * 30 4-7 0-0 2-3 8 0 1 1 1 10 12 -
Donald Sloan * 23 4-6 0-0 0-0 0 6 0 0 0 8 8 -
Samardo Samuels * 18 6-7 0-0 1-1 5 1 1 0 0 13 13 -
Omri Casspi * 17 1-4 1-3 2-2 2 2 1 0 1 5 5 -
Manny Harris * 11 3-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
Luke Walton * 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 4 0 0 1 0 3 -
Semih Erden * 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 3 -

* = starter