Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.6% | 48.4% | -0.4 | ✗ (39.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +39 (123-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Jenkins * | 29 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Klay Thompson * | 28 | 5-13 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Rush * | 23 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| David Lee * | 23 | 4-15 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Jeremy Tyler * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 19 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 19 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Nate Robinson * | 18 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Dominic McGuire * | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Andris Biedrins * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Mickell Gladness | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Chris Wright | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arron Afflalo * | 36 | 6-14 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 30 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Andre Miller * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 16 | - |
| Kenneth Faried * | 24 | 12-18 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 29 | - |
| Corey Brewer * | 22 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| JaVale McGee * | 22 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 20 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Kosta Koufos * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Julyan Stone * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 11 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Hamilton | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Timofey Mozgov | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
* = starter