Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.0% | 76.0% | +6.4 | ✓ (16.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +23 (98-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayshaun Prince * | 29 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Brandon Knight * | 29 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 27 | 4-13 | 0-5 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | -1 | - |
| Greg Monroe * | 26 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Jonas Jerebko * | 22 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Ben Gordon * | 21 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Will Bynum * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Austin Daye * | 13 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Damien Wilkins | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 32 | 12-22 | 1-3 | 1-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 10 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 30 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 30 | 7-18 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 24 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 23 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | - |
| James Jones * | 23 | 6-8 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Ronny Turiaf * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Terrel Harris | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Joel Anthony | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Norris Cole | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Juwan Howard | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Dexter Pittman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter