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2012-04-07

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 50.7% 49.3% -
Bradley-Terry 35.1% 64.9% -
Margin 28.0% 72.0% +5.2 (9.8 off)
Pythagorean 43.1% 56.9% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +15 (112-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Arron Afflalo * 39 6-11 1-3 3-4 4 3 0 0 0 16 12 -
Ty Lawson * 34 9-15 1-5 4-4 2 6 2 0 4 23 14 -
Corey Brewer * 29 3-8 1-4 0-0 3 2 2 0 3 7 3 -
Al Harrington * 28 7-14 5-7 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 19 8 -
Andre Miller * 25 5-11 0-2 4-4 6 4 0 0 3 14 10 -
JaVale McGee * 22 3-7 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 4 0 6 12 -
Kenneth Faried * 20 0-2 0-0 1-4 4 2 0 1 2 1 4 -
Jordan Hamilton * 18 0-7 0-4 0-0 1 1 1 1 2 0 -5 -
Kosta Koufos * 17 4-4 0-0 3-4 4 1 0 0 0 11 12 -
Julyan Stone 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
David Lee * 37 8-15 0-1 1-2 9 1 1 0 3 17 10 -
Brandon Rush * 29 8-17 4-6 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 20 9 -
Richard Jefferson * 25 3-5 1-2 3-4 4 3 0 0 0 10 12 -
Nate Robinson * 24 5-10 1-4 3-3 1 7 1 0 0 14 13 -
Charles Jenkins * 23 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 8 1 0 2 2 8 -
Klay Thompson * 22 6-11 2-5 1-2 2 0 0 2 1 15 7 -
Dorell Wright * 19 5-8 0-2 1-2 3 2 2 1 0 11 11 -
Andris Biedrins * 17 2-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 2 1 4 10 -
Dominic McGuire * 17 4-7 0-0 1-1 1 2 3 1 1 9 8 -
Jeremy Tyler * 16 4-9 0-0 2-2 8 0 0 2 4 10 7 -
Mickell Gladness 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Chris Wright 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter