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2012-04-07

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 17.1% 82.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 41.9% 58.1% - ✓
Margin 36.3% 63.7% +3.1 ✓ (16.9 off)
Pythagorean 45.5% 54.5% - ✓

Actual: Phoenix Suns +20 (125-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pau Gasol * 38 14-25 0-0 2-2 13 3 0 0 2 30 19 -
Andrew Bynum * 34 10-27 0-0 3-9 18 0 1 0 3 23 12 -
Devin Ebanks * 32 6-11 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 12 4 -
Metta World Peace * 31 8-10 1-2 2-2 2 2 1 1 1 19 14 -
Matt Barnes * 30 1-7 0-4 0-0 7 4 0 0 1 2 5 -
Ramon Sessions * 28 5-8 0-0 1-3 3 9 0 0 1 11 14 -
Steve Blake * 17 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 0 -2 -
Josh McRoberts * 13 2-5 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 1 1 4 5 -
Troy Murphy 8 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 4 4 -
Andrew Goudelock 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Darius Morris 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shannon Brown * 29 9-19 4-8 2-2 5 3 0 0 0 24 13 -
Marcin Gortat * 27 6-11 0-0 2-2 9 0 0 4 0 14 16 -
Markieff Morris * 26 4-5 1-1 4-4 5 0 0 2 1 13 14 -
Michael Redd * 26 8-18 4-10 3-4 0 1 2 0 0 23 8 -
Steve Nash * 26 6-9 1-2 0-0 2 11 0 0 1 13 16 -
Josh Childress * 21 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 2 5 -
Channing Frye * 21 4-7 1-2 2-2 5 0 1 1 0 11 11 -
Sebastian Telfair * 21 5-11 2-3 1-1 3 7 2 0 0 13 14 -
Robin Lopez * 20 2-4 0-0 3-6 2 0 1 3 0 7 9 -
Jared Dudley * 18 2-7 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 5 1 -

* = starter