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2012-04-07

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 75.7% 24.3% -
Bradley-Terry 44.7% 55.3% -
Margin 44.8% 55.2% +1.1 (7.9 off)
Pythagorean 49.4% 50.6% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +9 (99-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Love * 35 11-23 3-8 4-5 12 3 1 1 0 29 23 -
J.J. Barea * 33 4-12 2-4 0-0 1 7 0 0 3 10 3 -
Michael Beasley * 30 7-11 3-4 3-4 7 1 1 1 3 20 16 -
Wayne Ellington * 27 1-9 0-3 2-2 1 0 1 1 0 4 -2 -
Nikola Pekovic * 25 4-9 0-0 3-3 6 0 0 1 0 11 9 -
Martell Webster * 20 1-5 1-3 2-4 2 2 2 1 1 5 6 -
Wesley Johnson * 17 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Derrick Williams * 15 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 4 2 -
Malcolm Lee * 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 4 0 0 0 2 5 -
Anthony Randolph * 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 2 3 -
Anthony Tolliver * 6 1-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 0 -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jason Smith * 35 12-16 0-0 2-2 10 0 3 0 0 26 23 -
Greivis Vasquez * 32 5-11 1-5 0-0 5 10 1 0 3 11 13 -
Chris Kaman * 30 9-10 0-0 3-3 10 4 1 4 2 21 28 -
Al-Farouq Aminu * 29 3-8 1-1 2-2 6 3 0 2 2 9 10 -
Marco Belinelli * 25 2-7 1-4 1-3 3 4 0 0 1 6 5 -
Eric Gordon * 24 3-12 1-3 3-5 3 1 1 0 2 10 1 -
Carl Landry * 23 2-7 0-0 4-4 6 0 0 1 1 8 7 -
Xavier Henry * 16 2-6 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 4 0 -
Trevor Ariza * 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 3 2 1 0 4 7 -
Lance Thomas * 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Gustavo Ayon 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter