Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.6% | 61.4% | +2.6 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +5 (94-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Terry * | 36 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Brandan Wright * | 36 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 35 | 5-16 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 34 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 20 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 30 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Delonte West * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Rodrigue Beaubois * | 23 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Lamar Odom | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brian Cardinal | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gay * | 32 | 9-15 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 15 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 32 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Quincy Pondexter * | 32 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| O.J. Mayo * | 32 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 29 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 28 | 6-15 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Marreese Speights * | 20 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Gilbert Arenas * | 17 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Dante Cunningham * | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Hamed Haddadi | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter