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2012-04-06

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 54.1% 45.9% -
Bradley-Terry 54.5% 45.5% -
Margin 58.2% 41.8% -1.8 (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 54.2% 45.8% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -5 (107-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Courtney Lee * 38 4-9 2-4 0-0 3 4 0 0 2 10 6 -
Goran Dragic * 38 8-19 3-7 7-8 4 11 3 0 3 26 22 -
Chandler Parsons * 37 5-7 3-3 0-0 3 4 0 0 2 13 11 -
Luis Scola * 30 10-17 0-0 5-5 4 2 2 0 1 25 15 -
Marcus Camby * 25 4-8 1-1 3-4 11 1 0 2 0 12 18 -
Samuel Dalembert * 22 6-12 0-0 0-0 6 0 3 0 3 12 6 -
Chase Budinger * 20 1-4 1-2 3-4 1 1 0 0 1 6 3 -
Patrick Patterson * 17 3-9 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 2 6 -1 -
Earl Boykins * 9 1-3 0-0 0-1 1 1 0 0 0 2 1 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pau Gasol * 37 5-11 0-0 4-4 10 5 0 1 2 14 17 -
Kobe Bryant * 36 8-20 1-4 11-11 2 0 0 0 1 28 9 -
Metta World Peace * 32 8-13 1-4 6-6 3 4 2 0 2 23 17 -
Matt Barnes * 30 1-9 1-2 0-0 13 4 1 1 1 3 12 -
Andrew Bynum * 30 6-11 0-0 7-7 7 0 0 2 5 19 12 -
Ramon Sessions * 28 3-10 0-1 4-8 6 7 1 0 3 10 11 -
Josh McRoberts * 21 3-7 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 1 0 6 7 -
Steve Blake * 19 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 2 4 -
Troy Murphy 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter