🐻⬇️🏀

@
2012-04-06

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Denver Nuggets Spread Result
Elo 40.5% 59.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 33.5% 66.5% - ✓
Margin 26.7% 73.3% +5.5 ✓ (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 42.1% 57.9% - ✓

Actual: Denver Nuggets +6 (105-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcin Gortat * 34 4-7 0-0 1-2 14 1 1 1 3 9 16 -
Shannon Brown * 34 7-18 3-6 1-2 6 1 1 0 3 18 5 -
Steve Nash * 34 5-10 2-3 2-2 3 11 0 0 3 14 15 -
Channing Frye * 31 4-10 1-3 4-4 11 1 0 3 1 13 17 -
Jared Dudley * 30 6-14 1-4 4-5 4 4 0 0 3 17 8 -
Markieff Morris * 16 0-1 0-1 3-4 3 0 0 0 0 3 5 -
Michael Redd * 15 4-12 1-3 6-8 3 0 0 0 0 15 6 -
Josh Childress * 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 2 1 2 5 -
Robin Lopez * 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 1 2 5 -
Sebastian Telfair * 13 2-5 0-2 2-2 1 2 0 0 1 6 3 -

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Arron Afflalo * 41 11-19 5-9 3-3 5 3 1 0 0 30 20 -
Ty Lawson * 34 1-8 0-1 0-0 2 8 1 0 0 2 5 -
Andre Miller * 33 4-12 1-2 6-6 7 7 2 0 1 15 18 -
Al Harrington * 29 8-19 4-10 3-4 4 1 1 0 2 23 8 -
Kenneth Faried * 29 4-10 0-0 4-7 8 1 1 1 0 12 13 -
JaVale McGee * 19 3-7 0-0 1-5 2 0 1 1 0 7 4 -
Corey Brewer * 17 0-4 0-2 2-2 0 2 0 0 1 2 -1 -
Kosta Koufos * 17 1-4 0-0 1-4 8 0 1 0 1 3 7 -
Jordan Hamilton * 17 5-9 1-3 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 11 9 -

* = starter