Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.1% | 63.9% | +3.1 | ✗ (18.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -15 (82-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gay * | 36 | 8-19 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 3 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 35 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 35 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| O.J. Mayo * | 29 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 28 | 6-17 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Marreese Speights * | 24 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Quincy Pondexter * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Gilbert Arenas * | 12 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Dante Cunningham | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Hamed Haddadi | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jeremy Pargo | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 37 | 8-19 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 36 | 8-18 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 34 | 8-15 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Terrel Harris * | 26 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 24 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 17 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Ronny Turiaf * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Norris Cole * | 11 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Juwan Howard | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Dexter Pittman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter