Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.9% | 67.1% | +3.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +5 (101-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Monroe * | 31 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 31 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 29 | 8-22 | 2-3 | 9-11 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 11 | - |
| Jonas Jerebko * | 27 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Will Bynum * | 26 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Brandon Knight * | 20 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Ben Gordon * | 18 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Damien Wilkins * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Smith * | 41 | 10-20 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 40 | 9-16 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 25 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 37 | 6-16 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Ivan Johnson * | 28 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 23 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Willie Green * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jannero Pargo * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter