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2012-04-05

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 66.6% 33.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 40.9% 59.1% - โœ—
Margin 44.8% 55.2% +1.1 โœ— (17.1 off)
Pythagorean 49.8% 50.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 55.7% 44.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 55.9% 44.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 47.3% 52.7% - โœ—

Actual: Orlando Magic -16 (80-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Iman Shumpert * 36 3-6 1-1 2-2 4 0 1 0 1 9 7 -
Tyson Chandler * 35 6-9 0-0 0-0 12 0 0 0 1 12 14 -
JR Smith * 33 6-12 3-4 0-0 4 9 1 0 1 15 16 -
Carmelo Anthony * 28 6-16 2-5 5-7 8 3 0 0 3 19 11 -
Landry Fields * 25 4-9 2-4 0-6 0 0 1 0 2 10 0 -
Toney Douglas * 24 7-12 1-2 0-0 5 6 1 0 2 15 13 -
Steve Novak * 23 3-6 3-6 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 9 8 -
Baron Davis * 19 2-6 1-3 0-0 3 5 2 0 1 5 8 -
Josh Harrellson * 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 2 -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dwight Howard * 39 4-8 0-0 0-3 8 1 1 3 5 8 8 -
JJ Redick * 38 2-7 1-5 5-5 0 1 0 0 0 10 4 -
Jason Richardson * 36 7-18 2-9 0-0 4 4 1 0 1 16 6 -
Jameer Nelson * 31 3-14 3-6 1-1 6 5 1 0 3 10 5 -
Glen Davis * 27 6-10 0-0 3-3 7 1 0 0 0 15 13 -
Von Wafer * 18 5-8 2-2 1-2 4 1 0 0 1 13 9 -
Hedo Turkoglu * 18 3-5 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 7 3 -
Chris Duhon * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 0 1 -
Earl Clark 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Ish Smith 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
DeAndre Liggins 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

* = starter