Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.8% | 60.2% | +2.3 | ✓ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +10 (95-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Conley * | 37 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 36 | 3-13 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Rudy Gay * | 35 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| O.J. Mayo * | 22 | 6-10 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Marreese Speights * | 19 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Dante Cunningham * | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Gilbert Arenas * | 11 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Quincy Pondexter * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 37 | 10-18 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 19 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 35 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 28 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Delonte West * | 26 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 23 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Rodrigue Beaubois * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Brandan Wright | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter