Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.3% | 52.7% | +0.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +5 (98-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 43 | 11-21 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 9 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 39 | 9-26 | 1-4 | 9-9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 7 | - |
| James Harden * | 33 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 30 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Nick Collison * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed * | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 41 | 10-20 | 3-7 | 11-13 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 34 | 34 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 37 | 7-18 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 6 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 34 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 33 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 32 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Ronny Turiaf * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Norris Cole * | 5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Terrel Harris * | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Joel Anthony | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| James Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter