Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.8% | 71.2% | +5.0 | ✓ (22.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +27 (120-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reggie Williams * | 34 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Kemba Walker * | 32 | 8-15 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Gerald Henderson * | 29 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Derrick Brown * | 28 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 27 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Byron Mullens * | 22 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Matt Carroll * | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Eduardo Najera * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D.J. Augustin * | 10 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Tyrus Thomas * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| DJ White | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Teague * | 29 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 27 | 11-17 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 25 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Willie Green * | 23 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 23 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 20 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - |
| Ivan Johnson * | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Jannero Pargo * | 15 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Jason Collins | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter