Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.4% | 56.6% | +1.5 | ✗ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Boston Celtics -1 (86-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Green * | 36 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 33 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 31 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -2 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 25 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 21 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 20 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Kawhi Leonard * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rajon Rondo * | 43 | 8-15 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 34 | 7-16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Ray Allen * | 34 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Avery Bradley * | 33 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 5 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 32 | 7-19 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 29 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic * | 13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Greg Stiemsma * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter