Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.6% | 23.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.7% | 28.3% | -5.1 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -13 (96-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darren Collison * | 31 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough * | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Danny Granger * | 26 | 8-12 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 15 | - |
| David West * | 22 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Dahntay Jones * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Paul George * | 20 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 20 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Lou Amundson * | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| George Hill * | 19 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa * | 14 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Jeff Ayres | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Lance Stephenson | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| AJ Price | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Crawford * | 34 | 11-22 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 9 | - |
| Jan Vesely * | 33 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Kevin Seraphin * | 32 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Brian Cook * | 28 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| John Wall * | 28 | 4-15 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | -3 | - |
| Chris Singleton * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Cartier Martin * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Shelvin Mack * | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 18 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
* = starter