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2012-04-03

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 75.6% 24.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 48.4% 51.6% - ✗
Margin 46.3% 53.7% +0.8 ✗ (9.8 off)
Pythagorean 50.3% 49.7% - ✓

Actual: Sacramento Kings -9 (100-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jared Dudley * 36 5-9 1-2 4-5 6 3 0 0 1 15 14 -
Channing Frye * 34 6-16 0-7 3-3 6 0 0 4 1 15 8 -
Steve Nash * 32 7-12 2-3 2-2 7 11 0 0 1 18 23 -
Shannon Brown * 31 5-14 1-5 1-2 6 3 1 0 3 12 5 -
Marcin Gortat * 31 7-11 0-0 6-7 10 0 1 3 2 20 21 -
Michael Redd * 15 7-14 1-2 1-1 1 1 1 0 0 16 5 -
Sebastian Telfair * 15 0-3 0-1 2-2 1 2 0 0 3 2 -1 -
Josh Childress * 14 2-5 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 1 0 4 5 -
Robin Lopez * 14 1-3 0-0 4-4 5 1 0 1 1 6 9 -
Markieff Morris * 13 0-3 0-1 1-2 2 0 2 0 1 1 1 -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Isaiah Thomas * 38 8-13 1-4 8-11 3 7 0 0 3 25 19 -
DeMarcus Cousins * 37 16-25 0-0 9-14 12 2 2 1 2 41 31 -
Tyreke Evans * 33 4-13 0-0 0-1 6 4 1 1 2 8 5 -
Terrence Williams * 31 7-10 0-0 2-4 6 5 0 2 2 16 17 -
Chuck Hayes * 28 1-7 0-0 0-0 7 0 2 0 2 2 2 -
Travis Outlaw * 18 1-3 0-1 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 4 3 -
Jason Thompson * 17 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
Donte Greene * 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Jimmer Fredette * 12 0-6 0-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -4 -
Hassan Whiteside * 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 3 0 2 5 -

* = starter