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2012-04-03

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 69.4% 30.6% -
Bradley-Terry 52.9% 47.1% -
Margin 55.7% 44.3% -1.3 (5.3 off)
Pythagorean 52.1% 47.9% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +4 (98-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
David Lee * 38 10-22 0-0 2-4 13 4 1 0 3 22 15 -
Richard Jefferson * 30 2-3 1-2 2-2 3 0 1 0 2 7 6 -
Jeremy Tyler * 29 4-8 0-0 1-2 11 1 2 1 3 9 13 -
Brandon Rush * 25 4-7 2-3 3-5 2 2 1 0 0 13 11 -
Nate Robinson * 25 8-17 2-6 0-0 2 5 1 0 0 18 9 -
Klay Thompson * 23 2-8 0-2 2-2 1 2 1 1 3 6 0 -
Charles Jenkins * 22 3-7 0-0 1-1 3 2 1 1 1 7 6 -
Dorell Wright * 17 3-7 2-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 8 2 -
Andris Biedrins * 17 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 2 6 -
Dominic McGuire * 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 2 2 -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rudy Gay * 35 3-13 0-3 5-6 4 2 2 2 1 11 7 -
Marc Gasol * 33 6-13 0-0 0-1 4 6 1 4 2 12 12 -
Tony Allen * 30 1-6 0-1 0-0 7 2 0 1 4 2 2 -
Mike Conley * 28 7-11 3-4 1-2 5 2 1 0 2 18 13 -
O.J. Mayo * 27 6-12 4-6 3-4 1 2 1 0 1 19 10 -
Dante Cunningham * 21 6-6 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 0 0 13 13 -
Marreese Speights * 20 1-8 0-0 1-2 5 0 1 0 2 3 -1 -
Zach Randolph * 15 2-4 0-0 2-2 4 2 0 0 0 6 8 -
Gilbert Arenas * 15 4-4 1-1 1-3 3 2 2 0 0 10 13 -
Quincy Pondexter * 6 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 3 3 -
Hamed Haddadi 5 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 2 0 1 4 -

* = starter