Model Predictions
| Model | Philadelphia 76ers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.8% | 74.2% | +5.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +6 (99-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Turner * | 39 | 12-19 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 12 | - |
| Spencer Hawes * | 32 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Jrue Holiday * | 32 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Thaddeus Young * | 31 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Lou Williams * | 30 | 6-17 | 2-6 | 4-6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Elton Brand * | 30 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Andre Iguodala * | 26 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Jodie Meeks * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 38 | 15-25 | 1-2 | 10-13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 26 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 37 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 32 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 26 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Ronny Turiaf * | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Terrel Harris * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| James Jones * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Norris Cole * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Joel Anthony | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter