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2012-04-02

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 12.3% 87.7% -
Bradley-Terry 38.2% 61.8% -
Margin 28.9% 71.1% +5.0 (11.0 off)
Pythagorean 43.3% 56.7% -

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -6 (88-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marc Gasol * 41 6-13 0-0 1-1 8 1 1 1 1 13 10 -
Tony Allen * 40 5-11 0-2 5-6 8 0 1 0 1 15 12 -
Rudy Gay * 36 4-15 0-1 4-4 8 2 0 0 1 12 6 -
O.J. Mayo * 30 8-19 1-4 5-5 2 3 2 0 0 22 10 -
Zach Randolph * 26 2-9 0-1 6-7 3 3 0 0 1 10 6 -
Marreese Speights * 21 4-8 0-0 1-1 13 1 1 0 2 9 14 -
Jeremy Pargo * 19 4-7 2-4 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 10 3 -
Gilbert Arenas * 19 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 0 1 -
Quincy Pondexter * 4 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 2 -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 43 8-20 2-8 3-4 8 3 0 0 3 21 9 -
Russell Westbrook * 36 5-16 0-3 9-10 4 3 3 0 5 19 8 -
James Harden * 32 5-9 1-5 3-5 5 5 2 1 0 14 18 -
Serge Ibaka * 28 6-9 0-0 0-1 5 0 1 6 0 12 15 -
Kendrick Perkins * 28 3-4 0-0 1-2 11 2 0 1 3 7 14 -
Thabo Sefolosha * 24 2-6 2-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 6 2 -
Nick Collison * 20 4-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 8 3 -
Derek Fisher * 14 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -4 -
Nazr Mohammed * 11 0-2 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 1 3 -

* = starter