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2012-04-01

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 63.5% 36.5% -
Bradley-Terry 61.7% 38.3% -
Margin 68.1% 31.9% -4.2 (12.2 off)
Pythagorean 57.2% 42.8% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +8 (120-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
David Lee * 41 10-25 0-0 7-8 6 7 1 1 3 27 14 -
Dominic McGuire * 28 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 4 2 0 0 4 10 -
Klay Thompson * 27 8-16 2-8 0-1 2 3 1 0 0 18 8 -
Nate Robinson * 26 6-13 5-6 0-0 2 7 2 0 1 17 14 -
Richard Jefferson * 25 6-8 4-4 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 16 12 -
Charles Jenkins * 21 4-6 0-0 2-2 1 6 2 0 0 10 13 -
Dorell Wright * 20 6-8 0-2 2-2 4 1 0 2 0 14 13 -
Brandon Rush * 19 1-6 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 1 1 4 0 -
Jeremy Tyler * 11 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 -
Andris Biedrins 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 0 0 7 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pau Gasol * 40 11-17 0-1 4-5 11 6 0 3 2 26 27 -
Kobe Bryant * 37 16-28 3-3 5-7 3 5 0 0 3 40 17 -
Metta World Peace * 32 4-10 1-4 0-2 5 3 1 1 0 9 9 -
Ramon Sessions * 32 7-10 2-3 7-9 3 9 0 0 3 23 22 -
Matt Barnes * 27 1-4 1-3 2-4 4 0 2 3 2 5 8 -
Troy Murphy * 26 3-5 2-3 0-0 11 2 0 0 1 8 15 -
Josh McRoberts * 17 1-3 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 0 1 2 7 -
Steve Blake * 15 1-3 1-2 4-4 2 5 1 0 2 7 10 -
Andrew Bynum * 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter