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2012-04-01

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 28.4% 71.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 40.2% 59.8% - โœ“
Margin 30.4% 69.6% +4.6 โœ“ (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 44.5% 55.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 40.8% 59.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 40.8% 59.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 39.7% 60.3% - โœ“

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +13 (119-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick Williams * 42 8-16 0-3 5-7 6 1 0 0 3 21 9 -
Kevin Love * 36 7-16 1-6 11-12 9 4 1 0 1 26 23 -
Luke Ridnour * 35 7-14 1-3 6-6 4 6 3 1 1 21 20 -
Wayne Ellington * 31 4-10 1-2 3-4 2 1 0 0 0 12 5 -
Martell Webster * 24 3-4 1-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 3 7 5 -
Wesley Johnson * 23 4-6 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 1 0 9 7 -
Malcolm Lee * 18 1-4 0-0 2-2 4 1 2 0 0 4 7 -
Anthony Tolliver * 15 1-4 0-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Anthony Randolph * 11 1-4 0-0 2-4 2 2 0 2 0 4 6 -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LaMarcus Aldridge * 37 10-17 0-0 6-6 8 2 0 1 2 26 18 -
Wesley Matthews * 36 7-14 2-8 2-2 3 1 1 0 1 18 8 -
JJ Hickson * 35 6-10 0-0 3-4 9 0 0 1 1 15 14 -
Nicolas Batum * 33 7-15 4-9 6-7 5 0 0 2 1 24 15 -
Raymond Felton * 30 4-11 1-3 1-1 8 11 1 0 2 10 17 -
Jamal Crawford * 26 6-11 0-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 12 5 -
Luke Babbitt * 18 3-6 2-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 8 6 -
Jonny Flynn * 17 2-3 0-1 0-0 3 7 0 0 2 4 9 -
Craig Smith 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter