Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.4% | 35.6% | -3.3 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -3 (101-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arron Afflalo * | 40 | 8-14 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 37 | 10-16 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 22 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 32 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Corey Brewer * | 31 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Andre Miller * | 28 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Kenneth Faried * | 26 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Kosta Koufos * | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| JaVale McGee * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Hamilton * | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Anderson * | 38 | 7-18 | 3-10 | 3-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Glen Davis * | 37 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 6-11 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 36 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 35 | 11-21 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 11 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 32 | 3-12 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 27 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Earl Clark * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Chris Duhon * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter