Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.9% | 69.1% | +4.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +7 (99-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Wall * | 38 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Jan Vesely * | 34 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Kevin Seraphin * | 34 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Chris Singleton * | 33 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Jordan Crawford * | 30 | 6-15 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 27 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Brian Cook * | 17 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Cartier Martin * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Shelvin Mack * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Calderon * | 36 | 6-10 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 31 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Andrea Bargnani * | 30 | 6-15 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 27 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Gary Forbes * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| James Johnson * | 20 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Ed Davis * | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Aaron Gray * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Alan Anderson * | 12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Ben Uzoh * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Linas Kleiza * | 7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter