Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.4% | 64.6% | +3.3 | ✓ (15.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +19 (91-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 35 | 6-17 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| LeBron James * | 34 | 11-20 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 6 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 30 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Norris Cole * | 25 | 2-11 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 21 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| James Jones | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ronny Turiaf | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Dexter Pittman | 5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Terrel Harris | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Juwan Howard | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Bradley * | 36 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Rajon Rondo * | 36 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 11 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 26 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 35 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 10-10 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 34 | 8-17 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 29 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Greg Stiemsma * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 20 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| JaJuan Johnson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ryan Hollins | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| E'Twaun Moore | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter