Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.8% | 80.2% | +7.7 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +9 (112-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Granger * | 37 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 36 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| David West * | 34 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 5 | - |
| George Hill * | 30 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Paul George * | 27 | 8-11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Darren Collison * | 25 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough * | 17 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa * | 13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Dahntay Jones * | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Lou Amundson * | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 35 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 32 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 9-9 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 21 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 27 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 27 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Kawhi Leonard * | 24 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 17 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 15 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Danny Green * | 12 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
* = starter