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2012-03-30

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 24.6% 75.4% -
Bradley-Terry 40.2% 59.8% -
Margin 33.6% 66.4% +3.7 (5.3 off)
Pythagorean 45.0% 55.0% -

Actual: Houston Rockets +9 (98-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rudy Gay * 40 9-19 0-3 2-2 5 1 2 0 0 20 9 -
Marc Gasol * 38 7-16 0-0 5-7 9 2 1 2 1 19 16 -
Tony Allen * 32 5-15 0-1 5-6 7 1 3 2 2 15 11 -
O.J. Mayo * 31 5-13 1-7 4-5 5 4 2 0 1 15 12 -
Mike Conley * 26 3-8 0-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 2 7 -2 -
Zach Randolph * 25 3-7 0-0 0-2 4 0 1 0 0 6 4 -
Marreese Speights * 12 1-6 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
Jeremy Pargo * 8 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
Quincy Pondexter * 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -
Hamed Haddadi * 6 1-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
Dante Cunningham 9 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 2 1 0 1 4 -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Courtney Lee * 39 7-12 1-2 2-3 2 1 2 0 1 17 9 -
Marcus Camby * 36 2-5 0-0 3-4 16 0 2 6 0 7 26 -
Goran Dragic * 34 9-14 3-5 4-5 3 7 1 0 4 25 18 -
Luis Scola * 28 5-8 0-0 1-2 3 2 0 1 0 11 9 -
Chandler Parsons * 27 3-8 0-3 1-2 5 3 0 0 3 7 4 -
Chase Budinger * 21 5-8 3-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 13 9 -
Samuel Dalembert * 16 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 6 0 -
Earl Boykins * 13 1-3 0-0 2-2 2 2 0 0 3 4 2 -
Patrick Patterson * 13 3-9 0-0 2-2 4 2 0 1 0 8 6 -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 -

* = starter