Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.0% | 40.0% | -2.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -2 (98-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 36 | 9-18 | 2-3 | 8-8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 15 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 35 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 34 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Delonte West * | 24 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 24 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 24 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 12 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Brandan Wright | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Howard * | 43 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 7-16 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 25 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 38 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 32 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 32 | 10-17 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Ryan Anderson * | 32 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 17 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 25 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Chris Duhon * | 16 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Earl Clark * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Glen Davis * | 6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter