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2012-03-30

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 26.4% 73.6% -
Bradley-Terry 45.2% 54.8% -
Margin 44.8% 55.2% +1.1 (38.1 off)
Pythagorean 49.1% 50.9% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -37 (84-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Monta Ellis * 31 6-16 0-2 1-2 5 3 2 0 1 13 6 -
Brandon Jennings * 30 11-17 3-6 3-4 2 6 4 0 2 28 21 -
Beno Udrih * 25 3-6 0-0 1-2 3 10 0 0 2 7 12 -
Drew Gooden * 24 4-11 0-0 1-2 5 2 1 1 0 9 7 -
Ersan Ilyasova * 23 9-11 2-2 0-0 10 2 0 0 0 20 21 -
Luc Mbah a Moute * 22 4-4 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 8 11 -
Mike Dunleavy * 19 5-7 4-5 2-2 3 2 0 0 0 16 14 -
Ekpe Udoh * 19 2-5 0-0 2-4 6 2 1 2 0 6 12 -
Larry Sanders * 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Shaun Livingston 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
Tobias Harris 8 3-4 1-1 1-2 5 1 0 0 0 8 10 -
Jon Brockman 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Jon Leuer 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alonzo Gee * 31 8-11 0-1 3-5 8 2 1 0 0 19 19 -
Kyrie Irving * 31 11-20 6-6 1-1 3 5 0 0 6 29 11 -
Antawn Jamison * 30 1-4 0-3 0-0 5 3 0 1 0 2 7 -
Anthony Parker * 29 2-10 0-4 2-4 4 4 0 0 2 6 2 -
Tristan Thompson * 28 6-11 0-0 3-7 11 0 0 0 1 15 14 -
Samardo Samuels * 19 3-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
Luke Walton * 17 0-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -3 -
Omri Casspi * 16 2-6 0-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 -1 -
Donald Sloan * 16 0-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4 -
Manny Harris * 10 0-4 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -2 -
Lester Hudson 8 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter